Reasons to Pull in Your Horns

October 13, 2026 There are credible reasons for investors to begin reducing risk in their portfolios. 1. The Fed just started the process of pricking the equity, credit, and real estate bubbles by raising the FFR and reducing the pace of balance sheet expansion. While...

7 Reasons to Avoid Benchmark Treasuries

There are 7 reasons to believe long-term interest rates are headed much higher. Of course, there are the obvious conditions of insolvency and inflation. After all, any nation that has $40 trillion in debt (123% of GDP and 720% of revenue), $2 trillion annual deficits,...

Convulsion in Credit Markets

The United States government just posted a $432.3 billion deficit for July, the largest monthly shortfall since March of 2021. That single burst of red ink pushed the year‑to‑date deficit to $1.8 trillion, with two months still remaining in fiscal 2026. At this pace,...

The $40 Trillion Trap: Disinflation Is Not Deliverance

July 15, 2026 Let us begin not with a headline, but with an arithmetic problem so simple and so damning that it is astonishing it does not dominate every financial broadcast in this country. The United States government now carries $40 trillion in national debt. Not...

Labor Market Frozen Fed PUT on Ice

July 10th, 2026 The NFP report for June came in at a disappointing 57k net new jobs created. That was less than the downwardly revised 129,000 jobs added in May and worse than the 115,000 Dow Jones consensus forecast. Revisions slashed 74k jobs from the original May...