Priced for Perfection

May 1, 2025 The S&P 500 is now trading at 21x the projected earnings growth rate of 9% in 2025. That is an extremely rich multiple on a very optimistic earnings growth rate, given the fact that US GDP shrank during Q1. And, that shrinkage will soon be combined...

Why the Treasury Market is Behaving Badly

April 17, 2025 The US 10-year Benchmark rate jumped by 50 bps in just the 5 days from April 7th to the 11th. That is a very unusual and humongous move in such a short period of time. The question is, why would that volatility occur in the context of a slowing economy,...