Mid-Week Reality Check – 12/30/20
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Take the Under on 2021 GDP
December 28, 2020 Wall Street is universally bullish on the economy and stock market for 2021. For example, Morgan Stanley is on record predicting the U.S. economy will expand by 5.9% next year. The stock market has front-run this optimism. The most important...Mid-Week Reality Check – 12/23/20
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Mid-Week Reality Check – 12/16/20
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Land Mines
December 14, 2020 When the market cap of equities reaches 183% of GDP and government bonds yield near 0%, or even less overseas, the notion that one can just buy and hold a balanced portfolio is extremely dangerous. The minefield is not packed with IEDs; it is...Mid-Week Reality Check – 12/9/20
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Mid-Week Reality Check – 12/2/20
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Pre-COVID Economy Wasn’t All That Great
December 1, 2020 The stock market and economy appear to be doing ok for the moment, as the incredibly dangerous bubble inflates further. This optimism is predicated on a plethora of COVID-19 Vaccines, projected to bring the economy back to its pre-COVID state of...Mid-Week Reality Check – 11/25/20
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