Will Fed Easing Turn Out Like ’95 or ‘07?

July 15, 2019  You should completely understand that the market is dangerously overvalued and that global economic growth has slowed to a crawl along with S&P 500 earnings. However, you must also be wondering when the massive overhang of unprecedented debt levels,...

Baoshang Bank Could Be China’s Indybank

June 17, 2019 For the first time in nearly 30 years, the Chinese central bank and the Banking Regulatory Commission announced it would take control of one of its banks. The troubled Mongolia-based Baoshang Bank had assets of 576 billion yuan ($84 billion), and its...

Fed Running Out of Time and Conventional Weapons

June 10, 2019 The buy and hold mantra from Wall Street Carnival Barkers should have died decades ago. After all, just buying stocks has gotten you absolutely crushed in China for more than a decade. And in Japan, you have been buried under an avalanche of losses for...

A Brief History of Financial Entropy

May 17, 2019 The global economy began an experiment with fiscal and monetary alchemy when it exited the gold standard almost 50 years ago. In 1971 the USD completely separated from the last vestiges of its tether to gold. In effect, it released the worldwide monetary...

When Overvalued and Dangerous Markets Meet Stagflation

April 29, 2019 To put into perspective how overvalued and dangerous the US market has become; I often cite the figure of total market cap to GDP—currently 145% of the economy. How high is 145% of GDP? It is a full 30% higher than it was before the start of the Great...

Global Bond Bubble’s Ultimate Culmination

April 22, 2019 Historically speaking, a normal Fed tightening cycles consist of raising the Fed Funds Rate (FFR) by 350-425bps. It is at that point that the yield curve usually inverts–thus, disincentivizing future lending and closing down the credit conduit. At...

LYFT Mania is Wall Street’s Dead Canary

April 8, 2019 Recently, Wall Street has been myopically focused on the IPO of a ride-sharing company called Lyft, which by the way, is hemorrhaging money. Since investors have become much less concerned about profits and valuations, this offering was an incredible 20...

China Can’t Save the Global Economy Again

March 25, 2019 China has acted as part of the life support system for the global economy during the past two decades. The other part being comprised of central banks. When the Tech Bubble burst back in 2000, China began printing and borrowing an incredible amount of...

Asset Bubbles and the Economy are Now One

March 11, 2019  After this latest round of a deflationary recession/depression consummates, global central banks and governments will engage in an epic battle to re-inflate asset prices such as never before contemplated. Indeed, they are laying the framework for that...

The Cavalry may not Arrive on Time

February 28, 2019 A vast amount of economic data had been delayed due to the government shutdown that lasted 35 days from December 22nd to January 25th. But now, unfortunately for the Wall Street shills, it is all coming out—and, for the most part, it is downright...