Three Big Lies in One Small Press Conference

September 28, 2020 During the FOMC’s September press conference, Fed Head Jerome Powell managed to communicate three big lies in the space of an hour. The fact that bile spews from the mouth of a central banker isn’t all so surprising. However, having to...

Overvalued Stocks Head into the Bunker

September 14th 2020  The overvaluation of stocks relative to the economy has placed them in such rarefied space that the market is subject to dramatic and sudden air pockets. Our Inflation Deflation and Economic Cycle model is built to identify both cyclical and...

Inflation by Fiat

September 8th, 2020  The Fed has now officially changed its inflation target from 2% to one that averages above 2% in order to compensate for the years where inflation was below its target. First off, the Fed has a horrific track record with meeting its first and...

Fiscal and Monetary High-wire Act

August 11, 2020 Bankrupt Balance sheets The US National debt has now soared to 130% of GDP; that $26.6 trillion equates to around 1,000% of Federal revenue. Our government will add $4 trillion to that dung pile this year alone, which is an incredible 20% of GDP. The...

Will Vaccines Become a Bridge to Nowhere?

July 20, 2020  The monthly U.S. budget deficit for June 2020 was a heart-stopping record $864 billion. For reference, last year’s deficit for all of fiscal 2019 was just under $1 trillion. In other words, the June deficit was almost as much as the entire amount...