When Will the Party End?

February 2, 2021 I’d like to explain why these already-stretched markets could crash by the start of the 3rd quarter. I’ve been warning over the past month, or about, that my Inflation/Deflation and Economic Cycle Model SM is forecasting a potential crash in equities...

The Coming Bitcoin Crash

January 29, 2021 Bitcoin, or as I like to call it BitCON or S*H**T coin, is not gold 2.0. What makes gold valuable is its extreme rarity, its beauty, and its quality of being virtually indestructible. Bitcoin enjoys none of these traits. Of course, Bitcoin is not in...

Interest Rate Threshold Keeps Dropping

January 25, 2021 Initial Jobless claims totaled 900,000 for the week ending January 16th, after shedding 965,000 in the week prior. These numbers are over four times greater than they were a year ago. I find this to be not only sad but also remarkable in that we are...

Taper Nervous Breakdown

January 4, 2021 The next time the Fed reduces its bond purchase program the market reaction should be more like a nervous breakdown rather than just a tantrum. First let’s review a bit of the historical histrionics surrounding the initial Taper Tantrum. Back in...

Inflation Blinders

December 31st, 2020 While the Fed is desperately trying to ignite the spark of inflation, the wildfire it created rages uncontrolled. The conflagration can be easily spotted when looking at asset prices. But remember, the Fed doesn’t count surging asset prices as...